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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
0 - 1
Gillingham


Iandolo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Gillingham

This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate to get their 2024 off to a bright start. Colchester's home advantage and potentially better conversion might give them a chance in the match, but Gillingham's defensive resilience and ability to create a lot of chances might see them edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
39.71% (0.113 0.11) 26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 34.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)59.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)63.73% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 39.71%
    Gillingham 34.29%
    Draw 26%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Group Stage
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Kennedy (53')
McKenzie (90+3')
Lintott (38'), O'Keefe (44'), MacDonald (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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