MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:18:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

 Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
61.85% (-0.434 -0.43) 18.51% (0.161 0.16) 19.63% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.87% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)27.13% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.35% (-0.476 -0.48)47.65% (0.474 0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (-0.2 -0.2)8.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.19% (-0.492 -0.49)29.81% (0.491 0.49)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 61.86%
    Morecambe 19.63%
    Draw 18.51%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.51%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-4
Notts County
Lang (89')
Grant (13', 59'), Alessandra (21', 86')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-0
Morecambe
Jones (27'), Forte (85')
Hewitt (65')

Rose (26'), Muller (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!