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Walsall
Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Mansfield Town

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
25.24%23.82%50.94%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16%67.84%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3%48.7%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.24%
    Mansfield Town 50.94%
    Draw 23.81%
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.94%

How you voted: Oldham vs Mansfield

Oldham Athletic
29.6%
Draw
3.7%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Oldham

Clarke (38'), Lapslie (76'), Burke (90+2')

Stobbs (37'), Clarke (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
4-1
Oldham
Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Oldham
2-3
Mansfield
McCalmont (6'), McAleny (84')
McAleny (61'), Rowe (65')
Charsley (36'), Sweeney (38'), Reid (49')
Cook (34'), Lapslie (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Oldham
3-1
Mansfield
Smith (23'), Hamer (43'), Nepomuceno (58')
Khan (93')
Riley (16'), Pearce (70')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
6-1
Oldham
Maynard (31', 34', 45'), Wheater (56' og.), Afolayan (66'), Knowles (83' pen.)
Pearce (65'), Sweeney (92')
Haymer (43')
Morais (33')
Egert (37'), Morais (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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