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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Stockport County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Stockport

Pell (48')
Pell (10'), Woodyard (63'), Little (71'), Chislett (76'), Biler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (16'), Byrne (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport have the joint-highest points total of any side in the league over the course of the past 15 games, and we expect them to continue their fantastic recent form on Saturday. Wimbledon will be no pushovers, but they have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks and have won just one of their last six League Two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
26.01% (0.317 0.32) 26.47% (-0.209 -0.21) 47.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.968 0.97)55.64% (-0.973 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.786 0.79)76.79% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (0.809 0.81)36.79% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (0.801 0.8)73.58% (-0.804 -0.8)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)23.43% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.533 0.53)57.42% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.01%
    Stockport County 47.51%
    Draw 26.46%
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.084 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.51%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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