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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
26.01% ( 0.32) | 26.47% ( -0.21) | 47.52% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.36% ( 0.97) | 55.64% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.2% ( 0.79) | 76.79% ( -0.79) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% ( 0.81) | 36.79% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% ( 0.8) | 73.58% ( -0.8) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.36) | 23.43% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 0.53) | 57.42% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.01% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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