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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Stockport County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Stockport

Pell (48')
Pell (10'), Woodyard (63'), Little (71'), Chislett (76'), Biler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (16'), Byrne (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport have the joint-highest points total of any side in the league over the course of the past 15 games, and we expect them to continue their fantastic recent form on Saturday. Wimbledon will be no pushovers, but they have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks and have won just one of their last six League Two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
26.01% (0.317 0.32) 26.47% (-0.209 -0.21) 47.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.968 0.97)55.64% (-0.973 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.786 0.79)76.79% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (0.809 0.81)36.79% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (0.801 0.8)73.58% (-0.804 -0.8)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)23.43% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.533 0.53)57.42% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.01%
    Stockport County 47.51%
    Draw 26.46%
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.084 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.51%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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