Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.