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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
23.5% ( -0) | 26.27% ( -0) | 50.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.25% ( 0.01) | 56.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% ( 0.01) | 77.7% ( -0) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.33% ( 0.01) | 39.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.65% ( 0) | 76.35% |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( 0.01) | 22.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( 0.01) | 56.32% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.5% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |