Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.