Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.