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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)
Lukaku (5'), Kvaratskhelia (43')
Olivera (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli

Although Napoli look a more disciplined side than hit-and-miss Milan, the Rossoneri are particularly tough to beat on home turf. Despite the attacking riches available to both coaches, this contest could be tense and low-scoring, with a share of the spoils the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
42.27% (-0.174 -0.17) 24.22% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 33.51% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)42.55% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.242 -0.24)64.95% (0.246 0.25)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)20.3% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-0.287 -0.29)52.67% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)59.35% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.27%
    Napoli 33.51%
    Draw 24.22%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
41.2%
Draw
27.9%
Napoli
30.9%
233
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Hernandez (25')
Hernandez (90+6')

Jesus (85')
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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