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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Dimarco (28')
Mkhitaryan (19'), Calhanoglu (40'), Inzaghi (68'), Asllani (86'), Dimarco (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pulisic (10'), Gabbia (89')
Fofana (38')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Serie A derby between Inter Milan and AC Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Inter Milan could line up for Sunday's Serie A derby against city rivals AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 0-0 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

History awaits Simone Inzaghi's Inter side, as they are proven winners when it really matters, while Milan are currently some way short of their best. It will be seven derby wins on the spin for the Nerazzurri, whose squad depth and tactical acumen far exceeds that of their Rossoneri rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
54.89% (-0.991 -0.99) 22.34% (0.302 0.3) 22.77% (0.691 0.69)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-0.553 -0.55)41.38% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.563 -0.56)63.77% (0.565 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)15.01% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (-0.982 -0.98)43.47% (0.983 0.98)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (0.306 0.31)31.8% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (0.347 0.35)68.23% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 54.89%
    AC Milan 22.77%
    Draw 22.34%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 22.77%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
81.4%
Draw
12.4%
AC Milan
6.2%
194
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
1-2
Inter Milan
Tomori (80')
Hernandez (36'), Tomori (90+2'), Gabbia (90')
Hernandez (90+3'), Calabria (90+7')
Acerbi (18'), Thuram (49')
Barella (22'), Inzaghi (23'), Martinez (32')
Dumfries (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')
May 10, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-2
Inter Milan
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Juventus115601971221
3Inter Milan1063124131121
4Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
5Fiorentina105412191219
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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