Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
54.89% ( -0.99) | 22.34% ( 0.3) | 22.77% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.62% ( -0.55) | 41.38% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% ( -0.56) | 63.77% ( 0.57) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.51) | 15.01% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.53% ( -0.98) | 43.47% ( 0.98) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 0.31) | 31.8% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% ( 0.35) | 68.23% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.89% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
3 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |