Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
40.01% ( -0.2) | 26.2% ( 0) | 33.8% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.69% ( 0.03) | 51.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( 0.02) | 73.13% ( -0.02) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% ( -0.1) | 25.23% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% ( -0.13) | 59.97% ( 0.14) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( 0.14) | 28.82% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( 0.17) | 64.67% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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