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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Napoli logo

Juventus
0 - 0
Napoli


McKennie (33')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-1 PSV
Tuesday, September 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, September 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-1 Napoli

It promises to be a tight tactical battle between two intense coaches, as a couple of Calcio heavyweights scrap it out on Saturday. Napoli have attempted the most shots so far in Serie A (72), but well-drilled Juventus have faced the fewest (25) and could grind out another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawNapoli
40.01% (-0.205 -0.2) 26.2% (0.0030000000000001 0) 33.8% (0.203 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)25.23% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.135 -0.13)59.97% (0.136 0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.14 0.14)28.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.173 0.17)64.67% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 40%
    Napoli 33.8%
    Draw 26.19%
JuventusDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Juventus vs Napoli

Juventus
50.3%
Draw
31.1%
Napoli
18.7%
193
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Kvaratskhelia (42'), Raspadori (88')
Traore (47'), Calzona (90+5')
Chiesa (81')
Vlahovic (18'), Bremer (26'), Cambiaso (28'), Nonge (87')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
Gatti (51')
Bremer (58'), Locatelli (90+4')

Kvaratskhelia (45+1'), Jesus (63'), Skiri Oestigaard (85'), Osimhen (90+4')
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Juventus
0-1
Napoli
Raspadori (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
5-1
Juventus
Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
Di Maria (42')
Jan 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Juventus
1-1
Napoli
Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')
Mertens (23')
Demme (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Udinese74121010013
4Juventus7340101913
5Lazio74121411313
6AC Milan6321147711
7Torino73221211111
8Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
9Empoli724164210
10Roma62317439
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
12Bologna715179-28
13Como72231014-48
14Fiorentina61417707
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma71331012-26
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
20Monza603348-43


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