Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 0Napoli
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Match Report
AC Milan secure a slender 1-0 win over 10-man Napoli in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final at San Siro on Wednesday night.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Napoli could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with AC Milan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Empoli
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
29.39% ( 0.17) | 27.07% ( -0.07) | 43.54% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( 0.31) | 56.12% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.25) | 77.18% ( -0.26) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( 0.3) | 34.33% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% ( 0.32) | 71.03% ( -0.32) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.09) | 25.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.55% ( 0.12) | 60.44% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 29.39%
Napoli 43.54%
Draw 27.06%
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.39% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.54% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli
AC Milan
29.3%Draw
20.1%Napoli
50.5%457
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Lobotka (40')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
How Napoli could line up against AC Milan
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Napoli could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with AC Milan.
2 years ago
How AC Milan could line up against Napoli
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how AC Milan could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
2 years ago
