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Champions League header

Champions League
Milan logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Bennacer (40')
Pioli (44'), Bennacer (60'), Saelemaekers (90+3'), Calabria (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Zambo Anguissa (70'), Min-jae (78'), Rrahmani (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

AC Milan secure a slender 1-0 win over 10-man Napoli in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final at San Siro on Wednesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Napoli could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Empoli
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
29.39% (0.172 0.17) 27.07% (-0.067 -0.07) 43.54% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.88% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (0.313 0.31)56.12% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.254 0.25)77.18% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (0.29599999999999 0.3)34.33% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (0.316 0.32)71.03% (-0.318 -0.32)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.088000000000008 0.09)25.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (0.12 0.12)60.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 29.39%
    Napoli 43.54%
    Draw 27.06%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.39%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.54%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
29.3%
Draw
20.1%
Napoli
50.5%
457
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan

Lobotka (40')
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
Giroud (35'), Krunic (63')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli
Elmas (5')
Di Lorenzo (33'), Malcuit (67')
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
rhs 2.0
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