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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Monza

Napoli
2 - 0
Monza

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maldini (24'), Izzo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 5-0 Palermo
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 3-1 Brescia
Thursday, September 26 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 2-0 Monza

One way or another, Napoli should take care of business against a limited Monza team who struggle to score and have not beaten top-tier opponents for several months. Befitting their coach's never-say-die approach, Antonio Conte's men have scored the most Serie A goals in the last 30 minutes of play this season - seven of their nine so far - and will ultimately get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawMonza
72.79% (1.672 1.67) 17.33% (-0.509 -0.51) 9.88% (-1.1621 -1.16)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-2.556 -2.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-1.074 -1.07)43.78% (1.075 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-1.059 -1.06)66.17% (1.061 1.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (0.14 0.14)10.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.64% (0.313 0.31)34.36% (-0.311 -0.31)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82% (-2.94 -2.94)50.18% (2.941 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22% (-2.117 -2.12)84.78% (2.118 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 72.77%
    Monza 9.89%
    Draw 17.33%
NapoliDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.39% (0.77 0.77)
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.61 0.61)
3-0 @ 10.02% (0.624 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.63% (0.384 0.38)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.259 -0.26)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 72.77%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.366 -0.37)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.84% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.89%

How you voted: Napoli vs Monza

Napoli
92.8%
Draw
4.5%
Monza
2.7%
111
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
2-4
Napoli
Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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