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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Monza

Napoli
2 - 0
Monza

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maldini (24'), Izzo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 5-0 Palermo
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 3-1 Brescia
Thursday, September 26 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 2-0 Monza

One way or another, Napoli should take care of business against a limited Monza team who struggle to score and have not beaten top-tier opponents for several months. Befitting their coach's never-say-die approach, Antonio Conte's men have scored the most Serie A goals in the last 30 minutes of play this season - seven of their nine so far - and will ultimately get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawMonza
72.79% (1.672 1.67) 17.33% (-0.509 -0.51) 9.88% (-1.1621 -1.16)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-2.556 -2.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-1.074 -1.07)43.78% (1.075 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-1.059 -1.06)66.17% (1.061 1.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (0.14 0.14)10.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.64% (0.313 0.31)34.36% (-0.311 -0.31)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82% (-2.94 -2.94)50.18% (2.941 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22% (-2.117 -2.12)84.78% (2.118 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 72.77%
    Monza 9.89%
    Draw 17.33%
NapoliDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.39% (0.77 0.77)
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.61 0.61)
3-0 @ 10.02% (0.624 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.63% (0.384 0.38)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.259 -0.26)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 72.77%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.366 -0.37)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.84% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.89%

How you voted: Napoli vs Monza

Napoli
Draw
Monza
Napoli
92.8%
Draw
4.5%
Monza
2.7%
111
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
2-4
Napoli
Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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