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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan

Adli (35'), Gudmundsson (73')
Dodo (8'), Bove (90+5')
Palladino (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (60')
Tomori (24'), Fonseca (32'), Morata (43'), Reijnders (72')
Hernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan

 Though Milan's domestic form is on the rise, Fiorentina are rarely beaten on Tuscan turf and should be able to resist their visitors from the second city. The Rossoneri are still vulnerable at the back, so the Viola can score at least once and add another point to their modest Serie A tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
59.11% (0.43 0.43) 21.05% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 19.84% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (-0.159 -0.16)39.28% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.38% (-0.169 -0.17)61.62% (0.167 0.17)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)13% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (0.154 0.15)39.51% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.444 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.487 -0.49)69.97% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 59.11%
    AC Milan 19.84%
    Draw 21.05%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.84%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
22.8%
Draw
25.7%
AC Milan
51.5%
167
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Duncan (50')
Biraghi (13'), Martinez (24')
Loftus-Cheek (47'), Leao (53')
Thiaw (21'), Tomori (89'), Loftus-Cheek (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Hernandez (45+2' pen.)
Tomori (56'), Pioli (77')

Arthur (12'), Parisi (45+1')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
2-1
AC Milan
Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')
Hernandez (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Barak (28')
> Preview
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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