MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:03:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Ittihad

There is little to pick between the sides heading into Monday's contest, which could easily head either way. We can see both teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
44.02% (0.503 0.5) 25.25% (-0.134 -0.13) 30.73% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.433 0.43)48.2% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.397 0.4)70.35% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.41800000000001 0.42)21.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.631 0.63)55.13% (-0.629 -0.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.29% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 44.02%
    Al Ittihad 30.73%
    Draw 25.24%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

Al-Ahli
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Al Ittihad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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