Despite failing to win at home in the league since February, Al-Ain are a different beast on the continent, underlined by five wins in six. However, Yokohama are expected to score as they are wont to, and this one could go the distance, with the Japanese side possibly claiming their first final on penalties.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 38.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
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