Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 4PSG
We said: Monaco 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain
With Monaco having the chance to close the gap on PSG to four points, this is a blockbuster fixture to finish 2024 in Ligue 1. It could be a cagey clash, though, like the meeting here back in March, with PSG seeking to seal an entire calendar year unbeaten away from home in the league. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
26.67% ( -2.39) | 22.75% ( -0.35) | 50.58% ( 2.74) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
