MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:50:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Ahli

Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, August 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 27 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr bounced back from their opening-day draw with a convincing victory in their last match, which will undoubtedly boost their morale – in addition, their historical record against Al-Ahli suggests that they have a strong formula for success in this fixture, making them a likely favourite to win again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
42.51% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.62% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 69.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)15.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)43.84% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)48.9% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 42.51%
    Al-Ahli 35.62%
    Draw 21.87%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
88.5%
Draw
5.7%
Al-Ahli
5.7%
87
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!