MX23RW : Friday, November 1 02:19:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Ahli

Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, August 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 27 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr bounced back from their opening-day draw with a convincing victory in their last match, which will undoubtedly boost their morale – in addition, their historical record against Al-Ahli suggests that they have a strong formula for success in this fixture, making them a likely favourite to win again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
42.51% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.62% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 69.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)15.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)43.84% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)48.9% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 42.51%
    Al-Ahli 35.62%
    Draw 21.87%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
88.5%
Draw
5.7%
Al-Ahli
5.7%
87
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal88002361724
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr85301971218
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya841397213
6Al Riyadh84131112-113
7Al RaedAl Raed8323139411
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun832398111
10Al Ettifaq8323810-211
11Al Khaleej8314611-510
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac82151114-37
15Al Kholood81341116-56
16Al Fayha8134616-106
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh8116615-94


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!