Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Fylde |
41.76% ( -0.82) | 23.66% ( 0.21) | 34.58% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 62.33% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( -0.84) | 39.57% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( -0.88) | 61.92% ( 0.89) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( -0.7) | 19.28% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.98% ( -1.17) | 51.02% ( 1.17) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0.06) | 22.78% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0.09) | 56.47% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.76% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |