National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton2 - 1Spennymoor
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
73
Last Game: Spennymoor 5-2 Banbury
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
62.34% ( -0.2) | 22% ( 0.16) | 15.66% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.78% ( -0.55) | 50.22% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.82% ( -0.49) | 72.18% ( 0.5) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( -0.25) | 15.57% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( -0.47) | 44.53% ( 0.47) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.29% ( -0.27) | 44.71% ( 0.28) |