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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Andorra national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadi Nacional
Malta national football team

Andorra
0 - 1
Malta


Guillen (7'), Alaez (68'), Rosas Ubach (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Camenzuli (45')
Zammit Lonardelli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Andorra and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Malta

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

We said: Andorra 0-0 Malta

 On paper, this is Andorra's best chance of claiming a victory in the section, but they are not in the best of shape after a defeat to Gibraltar last week and 18 matches without a win. Likewise, Malta suffered a disappointing loss in Moldova at the weekend, creating next to nothing in attack, as these two sides could cancel each other out in a low-quality encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Malta had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Malta win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
AndorraDrawMalta
45.65% (-0.714 -0.71) 25.22% (-0.126 -0.13) 29.13% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.96 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15% (1 1)48.85% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (0.9 0.9)70.94% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.096000000000004 0.1)21.41% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.146 0.15)54.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (1.139 1.14)30.73% (-1.138 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (1.322 1.32)66.99% (-1.321 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Andorra 45.64%
    Malta 29.13%
    Draw 25.21%
AndorraDrawMalta
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Andorra vs Malta

Andorra
41.6%
Draw
31.0%
Malta
27.4%
113
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 2pm
League D
Malta
3-1
Andorra
Garcia (55' og.), Degabriele (58'), Dimech (90+3')
Montebello (52')
Rebes (3')
Vieira (17'), Alavedra (50')
Oct 10, 2020 7.45pm
League D
Andorra
0-0
Malta
Martinez (19'), Vales (68'), Cervos (85')
Borg (55')
rhs 2.0
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