Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Viseu
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Arouca 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes
This is a tough match to call, with Arouca certainly capable of picking up a positive result. However, Vitoria's early-season from has been excellent, and we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to all three points in their opening league match of the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.57% ( -0.87) | 25.38% ( -0.15) | 46.05% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
