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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
0 - 1
Guimaraes


Weverson (22'), Trezza (43'), Rocha (47'), Simao (62'), Araujo (75'), Jason (76')
Rocha (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (14')
Gaspar (48'), Silva (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Viseu
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Arouca 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 This is a tough match to call, with Arouca certainly capable of picking up a positive result. However, Vitoria's early-season from has been excellent, and we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to all three points in their opening league match of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
28.57% (-0.868 -0.87) 25.38% (-0.15 -0.15) 46.05% (1.019 1.02)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.172 0.17)49.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (0.156 0.16)71.84% (-0.155 -0.16)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)31.66% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.632 -0.63)68.08% (0.633 0.63)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.536 0.54)21.65% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.814 0.81)54.77% (-0.812 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 28.57%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.04%
    Draw 25.38%
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.03% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.088 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.04%

How you voted: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca
13.0%
Draw
8.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
78.3%
46
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Arouca
1-3
Guimaraes
Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')
Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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