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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')

The Match

Match Report

A brace from Douglas Luiz in between goals from Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey saw Aston Villa run out 4-2 winners against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
62.04% (0.876 0.88) 19.9% (-0.229 -0.23) 18.05% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.238 0.24)11.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88% (0.511 0.51)36.11% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)33.65% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.739 -0.74)70.3% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 62.04%
    Nottingham Forest 18.05%
    Draw 19.9%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
78.7%
Draw
11.9%
Nottingham Forest
9.5%
253
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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