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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Brentford
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Toney (19'), Mee (58'), Maupay (68')
Toney (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Danilo (3'), Wood (65')
Mangala (18'), Danilo (51'), Montiel (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
52.32% (-1.139 -1.14) 23.86% (0.243 0.24) 23.81% (0.892 0.89)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (-0.14 -0.14)47.02% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-0.13 -0.13)69.26% (0.125 0.13)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.476 -0.48)17.94% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.823 -0.82)48.77% (0.819 0.82)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.72 0.72)33.99% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.771 0.77)70.67% (-0.776 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 52.32%
    Nottingham Forest 23.81%
    Draw 23.85%
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest

Brentford
51.1%
Draw
28.8%
Nottingham Forest
20.1%
139
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Brentford
Dominguez (65')
Niakhate (30'), Sangare (68')
Niakhate (56')
Norgaard (58')
Hickey (2'), Onyeka (88')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brentford
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (82'), Dasilva (90+4')
Danilo (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Brentford
Gibbs-White (20'), Jorgensen (90+6' og.)
Mbeumo (45+3' pen.), Wissa (75')
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (12' pen.)
Janelt (26'), Dalsgaard (35'), Marcondes (90')
Krovinovic (63')
Mighten (25'), Cafu (67'), Ameobi (78'), Figueiredo (90')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Brentford
Worrall (90+2')
Figueiredo (61'), Samba (64'), Knockaert (79')
Knockaert (90+5')
Dalsgaard (15'), Dasilva (83'), Toney (88')
Toney (64'), Raya (82'), Janelt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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