Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.