MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 09:54:04| >> :120:47398:47398:
Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
West Ham logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
West Ham

Onana (71'), Rogers (76')
Rogers (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paqueta (9')
Kudus (29')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa stage comeback win to beat West Ham United and progress from their FA Cup third-round tie on Friday night, with goals from Morgan Rogers and Amadou Onana.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 West Ham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
56.72% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 21.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.85% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.89% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)60.53% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)13.37% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)40.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.052000000000007 0.05)30.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (0.064 0.06)67.14% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 56.72%
    West Ham United 21.85%
    Draw 21.43%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham

Aston Villa
75.0%
Draw
11.2%
West Ham United
13.8%
232
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
West Ham
1-2
Aston Villa
Paqueta (37' pen.)
Paqueta (31')
Onana (4'), Duran (79')
Bailey (8'), Philogene-Bidace (90')
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 29
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Antonio (29')
Alvarez (83'), Kudus (86'), Mavropanos (87')
Zaniolo (79')
Tielemans (70'), Zaniolo (83'), Luiz (86')
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Aston Villa
4-1
West Ham
Luiz (30', 52' pen.), Watkins (74'), Bailey (89')
Bowen (56')
Palmieri (54')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Benrahma (26' pen.)
Watkins (17')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-1
West Ham

Cash (57'), Kamara (79')
Fornals (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!