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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

 Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
65.12% (5.832 5.83) 19.27% (-1.931 -1.93) 15.61% (-3.895 -3.9)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (2.126 2.13)38.35% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (2.222 2.22)60.63% (-2.216 -2.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (2.274 2.27)11.05% (-2.269 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (4.784 4.78)35.4% (-4.778 -4.78)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-3.143 -3.14)37.51% (3.149 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-3.22 -3.22)74.3% (3.224 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 65.12%
    DC United 15.61%
    Draw 19.27%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.749 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.38% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.564 0.56)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.917 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.622 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.521 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.903 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.875 -0.88)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.825 -0.82)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.439 -0.44)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
DC United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Atlanta
Pirani (80')
Benteke (85'), Rodrigo Asad (88')
Lobzhanidze (14')
Fortune (61'), Mosquera (77'), Silva (89')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
3-1
DC United
Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')
Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta
Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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