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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Alaves logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Alaves

Griezmann (76' pen.), Sorloth (86')
Correa (45+2'), Simeone (87'), Alvarez (90'), De Paul (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guridi (7' pen.)
Blanco (58'), Sanchez (70'), Garcia (75'), Conechny (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, November 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Alaves
Saturday, November 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves

Alaves, despite their struggles on the road this season, are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico; Simeone's side are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to keep another clean sheet in a routine home success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
66.47% (-0.851 -0.85) 20.69% (0.388 0.39) 12.83% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.537 -0.54)50.5% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-0.477 -0.48)72.42% (0.47500000000001 0.48)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (-0.431 -0.43)14.34% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (-0.844 -0.84)42.19% (0.843 0.84)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.92% (0.435 0.43)49.07% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.99% (0.309 0.31)84.01% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 66.46%
    Alaves 12.83%
    Draw 20.69%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.66% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 13.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 66.46%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 12.83%

How you voted: Atletico vs Alaves

Atletico Madrid
91.7%
Draw
7.4%
Alaves
0.9%
108
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Alaves
2-0
Atletico
Benavidez (15'), Rioja (90+2')
Guridi (2'), Lopez (6'), Abqar (33'), Benavidez (49'), Marin (68')

Correa (45'), Azpilicueta (50'), Savic (68')
Oct 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Atletico
2-1
Alaves
Riquelme (26'), Morata (45+1')
Llorente (71'), Hermoso (71'), Oblak (83')
Guevara (90+6')
Duarte (71'), Hagi (85')
Apr 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
4-1
Alaves
Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
Escalante (63')
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 7
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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