Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Criciuma 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: CRB 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, July 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 (Atletico Mineiro advances 4-3 on aggregate) CRB
While CRB have a history of punching above their weight, we believe their Copa do Brasil journey will end on Wednesday against a Mineiro side eager to salvage something from what has been a disappointing top-flight campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for CRB had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | CRB |
64.93% ( 1.07) | 20.9% ( -0.27) | 14.17% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 46.49% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% ( -0.43) | 48.58% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.3% ( -0.39) | 70.7% ( 0.39) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( 0.19) | 14.21% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.07% ( 0.38) | 41.93% ( -0.38) |
CRB Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( -1.41) | 45.81% ( 1.4) |