MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 04:51:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Flamengo

Fernandinho (90+2' pen.)
Pablo (90+7'), Madson (90+11'), Linck (90+12'), Zapelli (90+8')
Stival (90+12'), Cuca (90+10'), Pontes Moreira (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+9')
Hugo (50'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (87'), Bruno (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo

Flamengo's recent form has been excellent, but Athletico Paranaense have also made a strong start to the campaign, and their home form cannot be ignored. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we believe that a tight match will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
40.3% (-0.287 -0.29) 25.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 34.16% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.271 0.27)48.4% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.248 0.25)70.54% (-0.246 -0.25)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.77% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)57.92% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.333 0.33)27.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.433 0.43)62.59% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 40.3%
    Flamengo 34.16%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
32.4%
Draw
41.2%
Flamengo
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 23
Flamengo
0-3
Athletico PR

Wesley (30'), Sampaoli (31'), Ribeiro (52')
Barbosa (67')
Caca (27'), Santana (84'), Bueno (90+7' pen.)
Moura (58'), Santana (71')
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo

Fernandinho (33'), Christian (50'), Roque (82'), Cuello (90+7')
Heleno (90+1')
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3InternacionalInternacional351811651292265
4FortalezaFortaleza351811649341565
5FlamengoFlamengo35189853381563
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro35139134038248
8Bahia35138144545047
9Corinthians351211124443147
10Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
11Vasco da GamaVasco35127163753-1643
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
14Gremio35118164145-441
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35118163842-441
16Fluminense35109163038-839
17CriciumaCriciuma35911153949-1038
18BragantinoBragantino35813143645-937
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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