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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leverkusen logo

Augsburg
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Vargas (18'), Iago (19'), Dorsch (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palacios (90+4')
Hofmann (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Augsburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 Augsburg cannot be taken lightly by a Bayer Leverkusen side who lost both home and away meetings with Die Fuggerstadter last season and are missing a number of key players for this weekend's contest. However, Alonso still has plenty of quality at his disposal to call upon and the visitors should have few problems outscoring an Augsburg outfit that has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 19 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
18.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 20.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 60.29% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (-0.105 -0.1)40.61% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (-0.109 -0.11)63% (0.112 0.11)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (-0.11 -0.11)35.25% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (-0.117 -0.12)72.01% (0.12 0.12)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.07% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)39.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 18.74%
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.29%
    Draw 20.97%
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.74%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Augsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Augsburg
15.3%
Draw
10.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
74.6%
59
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Augsburg
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Berisha (55')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Augsburg
Aranguiz (43')
Azmoun (79')
Jensen (15'), Hahn (82')
Pedersen (35'), Demirovic (42'), Gouweleeuw (70'), Rexhbecaj (75'), Gikiewicz (82'), Bauer (89')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Augsburg
Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (30')
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (5')
Benes (49'), Niederlechner (59')
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232
> Bundesliga Full Table


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