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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Leverkusen logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Bittencourt (14'), Friedl (36'), Deman (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Deman (9' og.), Frimpong (42'), Grimaldo (76')
Grimaldo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

The fact Leverkusen are still yet to stumble suggests they could maintain their challenge at the top, and they should have enough to navigate their way past a potentially tricky test here against Werder. Alonso will hope they can get through this week still on top and past Hacken with limited fuss in midweek, before a huge trip to Borussia Dortmund next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
17.72% (0.127 0.13) 20.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 61.98% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.473 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85% (0.494 0.49)39.14% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.517 0.52)61.47% (-0.52 -0.52)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.443 0.44)35.48% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.457 0.46)72.25% (-0.459 -0.46)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.128 0.13)12.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27% (0.273 0.27)37.72% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 17.73%
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.98%
    Draw 20.29%
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.73%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.98%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs B. Leverkusen

Werder Bremen
10.4%
Draw
2.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
48
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Werder Bremen
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Ducksch (30'), Fullkrug (86' pen.)
Bakker (34'), Frimpong (56'), Hlozek (83')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
0-0
B. Leverkusen
Sargent (4'), Gross (42'), Gebre Selassie (87')
Dinkci (90+4')
Sinkgraven (27'), Schick (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Werder Bremen
Schick (70')
Schick (67'), Demirbay (89')
Toprak (52')
Augustinsson (54'), Mbom (88')
May 18, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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