Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
We said: Bahia 2-1 Corinthians
Barring last week's defeat, Bahia have been incredible at home this season and they will be determined to bounce back here to keep the pressure on the sides at the top of the table.
While Corinthians made a positive start to life under new leadership, it is difficult to look past the fact that they have not won an away match in 2024, and we feel they will see that record extended in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.98% . A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.45% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.4%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood .
Result Bahia Draw Corinthians 63.98% ( 0) 21.57% ( 0) 14.45% ( -0)
Both teams to score 45.19% ( -0)
49.29% ( -0) 50.71% ( 0)
27.39% ( -0) 72.61% ( 0)
84.8% 15.2% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.17% 43.83% ( 0)
53.29% ( -0) 46.71% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.73% ( -0) 82.26% ( 0)
Bahia 63.97%
Corinthians 14.45%
Draw 21.57%
Bahia Draw Corinthians 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 6.02% 4-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 63.97% 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.57% 0-1 @ 5.4% 1-2 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.45%
How you voted: Bahia vs Corinthians
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