Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia
While Bahia have made a very promising start to the 2024 league season, their away record is much less impressive with only one win secured in six outings. Sao Paulo, while not at their absolute best this term, have earned the majority of their points here at MorumBIS, losing only once in their last five home games. This looks a very even contest on paper and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Bahia |
58.19% ( -0.14) | 23.22% ( 0.01) | 18.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
