Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 2Roma
The Match
Match Report
Bayer Leverkusen magnificently save their unbeaten run and reach the Europa League final with a 4-2 aggregate win over Roma in the semi-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Roma had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
66.53% ( -0.42) | 18.99% ( 0.13) | 14.47% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0.01) | 39.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.18% ( -0.01) | 61.81% ( 0.01) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( -0.11) | 11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.24) | 35.29% ( 0.24) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.38) | 39.72% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.6% ( 0.35) | 76.39% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen 66.53%
Roma 14.47%
Draw 18.99%
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.21% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.47% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Roma
Bayer Leverkusen
77.1%Draw
13.1%Roma
9.8%275
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
0-2
B. Leverkusen
May 11, 2023 8pm
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Form Guide
