Champions League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica0 - 0Bologna
We said: Benfica 2-0 Bologna
Only one of Benfica's last 36 UEFA fixtures has finished goalless, and they are scoring freely at the moment - with plenty of attacking options available on the bench if Bruno Lage requires 'Plan B'. It is a virtually make-or-break situation for Bologna, but their lack of a razor-sharp cutting edge could cost them again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Bologna |
69.81% ( 2.53) | 18.47% ( -0.92) | 11.72% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.2) | 43.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.19) | 66.13% ( -0.19) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( 0.74) | 11.35% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.95% ( 1.59) | 36.05% ( -1.59) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.3% ( -2.49) | 46.7% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.74% ( -1.97) | 82.26% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 69.8%
Bologna 11.72%
Draw 18.47%
| Benfica | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.28)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.55% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.47% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.72% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Bologna
Benfica
84.0%Draw
9.7%Bologna
6.3%175
