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Estoril
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto

Benfica
4 - 1
Porto

Fernandez (30'), di Maria (56', 82' pen.), Perez (61' og.)
Fernandez (19'), Kokcu (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omorodion (44')
Varela (19'), Vieira (51'), Fernandes (52'), Mario (79'), Borges (90+3'), Gonzalez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Porto
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Benfica 3-2 Porto

 In the first edition of the heated rivalry between Benfica and Porto this season, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio da Luz as both sides look to get the better of each other and move within touching distance of league leaders Sporting Lisbon. Home advantage gives Benfica a slight edge, and while we expect Porto to put up a fight this weekend, we are backing Lage's men to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Porto had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Porto win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
58.3% (2.001 2) 21.97% (-0.678 -0.68) 19.73% (-1.328 -1.33)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (1.208 1.21)43.62% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (1.174 1.17)66.01% (-1.179 -1.18)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (1.069 1.07)14.66% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19% (2.019 2.02)42.81% (-2.026 -2.03)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03% (-0.642 -0.64)35.96% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25% (-0.663 -0.66)72.74% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 58.3%
    Porto 19.73%
    Draw 21.96%
BenficaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.36 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.276 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.094 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.13 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.3%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.252 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.73%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
60.0%
Draw
18.3%
Porto
21.7%
60
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
5-0
Benfica
Galeno (20', 44'), Wendell (55'), Pepe (75'), Loader (90')
Conceicao (12'), Gonzalez (79')

Morato (32'), Otamendi (52')
Otamendi (61')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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