Champions League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Benfica
Benfica have let in at least two goals in each of their last five Champions League games with Bayern Munich, who have been in free-scoring mode since being left battered and bruised by Barcelona. Expect that trend to continue at the Allianz Arena, where Kompany's men should not emerge unscathed on the defensive front but will surely possess too much firepower for Lage's troops. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
46.52% ( -0.35) | 23.91% ( 0.05) | 29.57% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( -0.07) | 42.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( -0.06) | 65.21% ( 0.06) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( -0.17) | 18.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( -0.28) | 49.87% ( 0.28) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( 0.16) | 27.36% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.17% ( 0.21) | 62.83% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich 46.52%
Benfica 29.57%
Draw 23.91%
Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.57% |
How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica
Bayern Munich
82.6%Draw
9.7%Benfica
7.6%340
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-2
Benfica
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-21 03:50:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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