Birmingham2 - 0Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
for
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
for
We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Bolton Wanderers
Birmingham have taken 25 points from a possible 30 in League One this season, and while Bolton have put together a five-game unbeaten league run, we think that the hosts will showcase their quality to claim a fifth consecutive home victory in the third tier. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
42.46% ( -0.88) | 24.56% ( 0.11) | 32.97% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( -0.23) | 44.33% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( -0.23) | 66.71% ( 0.23) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -0.49) | 20.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.28% ( -0.78) | 53.72% ( 0.79) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.36) | 25.95% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% ( 0.48) | 60.96% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.97% |
