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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bolton logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bolton

Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Birmingham have taken 25 points from a possible 30 in League One this season, and while Bolton have put together a five-game unbeaten league run, we think that the hosts will showcase their quality to claim a fifth consecutive home victory in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
42.46% (-0.881 -0.88) 24.56% (0.108 0.11) 32.97% (0.78 0.78)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.231 -0.23)44.33% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)66.71% (0.233 0.23)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)20.97% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.783 -0.78)53.72% (0.79000000000001 0.79)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.364 0.36)25.95% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.485 0.48)60.96% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 42.46%
    Bolton Wanderers 32.97%
    Draw 24.56%
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bolton

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Bolton Wanderers
22.2%
81
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-1
Bolton

Harding (60')
Connolly (71')
Connolly (69'), Noone (96')
Aug 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
1-0
Birmingham
Buckley (73')
Buckley (75'), Olkowski (87')

Kieftenbeld (14'), Gardner (71'), Pedersen (83')
Apr 3, 2018 8pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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