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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds


Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
38.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.84% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.76%
    Leeds United 37.42%
    Draw 23.82%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Leeds United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
3-2
Blackburn
Williams (33' og.), Roofe (91', 94')
Douglas (77'), Phillips (89')
Mulgrew (47' pen., 90')
Rodwell (44'), Lenihan (85')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Blackburn
2-1
Leeds
Graham (2'), Lenihan (70')
Smallwood (47'), Evans (86'), Rodwell (87')
Klich (45')
Roofe (68'), Klich (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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