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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
46.27% ( 1.04) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 28.04% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% ( -0.47) | 51.36% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% ( -0.41) | 73.18% ( 0.41) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( 0.28) | 22.18% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% ( 0.42) | 55.58% ( -0.42) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -1.01) | 32.85% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -1.14) | 69.42% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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