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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Swansea City

This match is difficult to call as one of the worst defences square off against one of the poorest attacks. With that in mind, we are playing it safe and predicting a competitive draw, a result that suits neither of these teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 31.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.59% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)74.24% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.57% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)31.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.38%
    Swansea City 31.27%
    Draw 26.35%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
34.6%
Swansea City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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