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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Newcastle logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Newcastle

Szmodics (79')
Moran (18'), Chrisene (110'), Ayari (118')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (71')
Lascelles (103'), Longstaff (120+1')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United edge out Blackburn Rovers on penalties following a 1-1 draw to advance to the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
34.44% (3.078 3.08) 22.74% (0.2 0.2) 42.81% (-3.282 -3.28)
Both teams to score 65.74% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.191 0.19)35.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.21299999999999 0.21)57.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (1.753 1.75)20.78% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (2.686 2.69)53.42% (-2.692 -2.69)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-1.178 -1.18)17.01% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-2.123 -2.12)47.14% (2.117 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 34.44%
    Newcastle United 42.81%
    Draw 22.74%
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.427 0.43)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.515 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Newcastle

Blackburn Rovers
18.3%
Draw
13.9%
Newcastle United
67.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.30pm
Second Round
Newcastle
1-0
Blackburn
Fraser (35')
> Match Report
Jan 15, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Blackburn
2-4
Newcastle
Armstrong (33'), Lenihan (45')
Longstaff (1'), Roberts (22'), Joselu (105'), Perez (106')
Fernandez (90')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2019 5.30pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-1
Blackburn
Ritchie (84' pen.)
Ritchie (90')
Dack (56')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
1-0
Newcastle
Mulgrew (74')
Lowe (53')

Dummett (64'), Colback (73')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
0-1
Blackburn

Hayden (83')
Mulgrew (75')
Conway (24'), Lowe (68'), Marshall (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
> Premier League Full Table


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