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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Newcastle logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Newcastle

Szmodics (79')
Moran (18'), Chrisene (110'), Ayari (118')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (71')
Lascelles (103'), Longstaff (120+1')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United edge out Blackburn Rovers on penalties following a 1-1 draw to advance to the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
34.44% (3.078 3.08) 22.74% (0.2 0.2) 42.81% (-3.282 -3.28)
Both teams to score 65.74% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.191 0.19)35.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.21299999999999 0.21)57.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (1.753 1.75)20.78% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (2.686 2.69)53.42% (-2.692 -2.69)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-1.178 -1.18)17.01% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-2.123 -2.12)47.14% (2.117 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 34.44%
    Newcastle United 42.81%
    Draw 22.74%
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.427 0.43)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.515 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Newcastle

Blackburn Rovers
18.3%
Draw
13.9%
Newcastle United
67.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.30pm
Second Round
Newcastle
1-0
Blackburn
Fraser (35')
> Match Report
Jan 15, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Blackburn
2-4
Newcastle
Armstrong (33'), Lenihan (45')
Longstaff (1'), Roberts (22'), Joselu (105'), Perez (106')
Fernandez (90')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2019 5.30pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-1
Blackburn
Ritchie (84' pen.)
Ritchie (90')
Dack (56')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
1-0
Newcastle
Mulgrew (74')
Lowe (53')

Dummett (64'), Colback (73')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
0-1
Blackburn

Hayden (83')
Mulgrew (75')
Conway (24'), Lowe (68'), Marshall (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


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