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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Newcastle logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Newcastle

Szmodics (79')
Moran (18'), Chrisene (110'), Ayari (118')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (71')
Lascelles (103'), Longstaff (120+1')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United edge out Blackburn Rovers on penalties following a 1-1 draw to advance to the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
34.44% (3.078 3.08) 22.74% (0.2 0.2) 42.81% (-3.282 -3.28)
Both teams to score 65.74% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.191 0.19)35.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.21299999999999 0.21)57.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (1.753 1.75)20.78% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (2.686 2.69)53.42% (-2.692 -2.69)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-1.178 -1.18)17.01% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-2.123 -2.12)47.14% (2.117 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 34.44%
    Newcastle United 42.81%
    Draw 22.74%
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.427 0.43)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.515 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Newcastle

Blackburn Rovers
18.3%
Draw
13.9%
Newcastle United
67.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.30pm
Second Round
Newcastle
1-0
Blackburn
Fraser (35')
> Match Report
Jan 15, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Blackburn
2-4
Newcastle
Armstrong (33'), Lenihan (45')
Longstaff (1'), Roberts (22'), Joselu (105'), Perez (106')
Fernandez (90')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2019 5.30pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-1
Blackburn
Ritchie (84' pen.)
Ritchie (90')
Dack (56')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
1-0
Newcastle
Mulgrew (74')
Lowe (53')

Dummett (64'), Colback (73')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
0-1
Blackburn

Hayden (83')
Mulgrew (75')
Conway (24'), Lowe (68'), Marshall (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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