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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Stoke logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City

Although Eustace could be in the dugout in time for Saturday, we do not expect a new manager bounce immediately for Blackburn this weekend. Stoke were woeful in the Leicester defeat, but with a couple of alterations to the XI they should be good enough for three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
46.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.12%30.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.16%
    Stoke City 30.72%
    Draw 23.11%
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Stoke

Blackburn Rovers
48.6%
Draw
18.9%
Stoke City
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Wharton (32'), Paul van Hecke (34')
Brown (4')
Maja (23'), Smith (56')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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