Bolivar1 - 0Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Bolivar 1-0 Flamengo (Flamengo advances 2-1 on aggregate)
With a two-goal cushion, the Brazilians may put an extra emphasis on maintaining that advantage, and we believe they will do just enough to hang on against a desperate Bolivar side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.
Result | ||
Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
40.72% ( -0.46) | 24.33% ( 0.14) | 34.95% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( -0.59) | 42.72% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% ( -0.59) | 65.12% ( 0.59) |
Bolivar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.46) | 21.08% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.73) | 53.9% ( 0.73) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.1) | 24.03% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.7% ( -0.14) | 58.3% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.95% |
How you voted: Bolivar vs Flamengo
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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