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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
67.03% ( 1.35) | 19.19% ( -0.66) | 13.78% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.99% ( 1.48) | 42.01% ( -1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.59% ( 1.47) | 64.41% ( -1.47) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.39% ( 0.81) | 11.6% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.4% ( 1.71) | 36.6% ( -1.71) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.68% ( -0.07) | 42.32% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.29% ( -0.06) | 78.71% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.69% Total : 67.01% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |