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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
Bolton

Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

The hosts may be enjoying an improved run of form in recent weeks, but Bolton's comeback win last time out would have given them a major boost heading into this one, leading us to believe the visitors will secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
37.82% (-0.27 -0.27) 26.25% (0.096 0.1) 35.93% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.403 -0.4)51.25% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.353 -0.35)73.09% (0.348 0.35)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.34 -0.34)26.4% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.452 -0.45)61.55% (0.447 0.45)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)27.48% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.116 -0.12)62.98% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.82%
    Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
    Draw 26.25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.82%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bolton Wanderers
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bolton
2-1
Rotherham
Ameobi (33'), O'Neil (65')
Wilson (51'), Williams (98')
Vaulks (37')
Robertson (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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