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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
54.73% ( 0.88) | 21.69% ( -0.3) | 23.58% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.35% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.61% ( 0.78) | 37.39% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.39% ( 0.84) | 59.6% ( -0.84) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( 0.54) | 13.69% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% ( 1.07) | 40.92% ( -1.07) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0.04) | 28.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0.05) | 64.79% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |