MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:25:41| >> :600:2313081:2313081:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo

Botafogo
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Henrique (30'), Bastos (72')
FT

Rafinha (82'), Arboleda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo

 Botafogo's rise to the summit of the league standings has been nothing short of remarkable, and they will enter this match brimming with confidence, unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Additionally, the hosts are riding a four-match winning streak at Estadio Nilton Santos and we feel they will extend that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
45.38% (0.314 0.31) 27.84% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 26.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (0.117 0.12)60.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)80.28% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.21599999999999 0.22)26.43% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.283 0.28)61.6% (-0.279 -0.28)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (-0.139 -0.14)38.57% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.134 -0.13)75.32% (0.13799999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 45.38%
    Sao Paulo 26.77%
    Draw 27.83%
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4% (0.055 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Sao Paulo

Botafogo
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Sao Paulo
0-0
Botafogo
Luciano (50'), Welington (53'), Diego (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3')
Di Placido (2'), Tche (61')
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Botafogo
2-1
Sao Paulo
Tiquinho (4'), Eduardo (88')
Calleri (15')
Oct 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
0-1
Botafogo
Tiquinho (90' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!